Founder talks of IPO and beyond for Alibaba
May 8th, 2013China's biggest e-commerce company, privately held Alibaba Group, has become the most profitable Internet company in the country, as the company is considering going public and will continue to invest heavily in mobile technology.
Alibaba said on Tuesday that its net profit in the four quarter was $640 million on revenue of $1.84 billion. Net profit was 172 percent higher than the same period of the previous year while revenue growth was 80 percent.
The $6.4 billion profit beat Tencent Holdings Ltd's $550 million in the same period to become the most profitable Internet company in China.
Company founder and chairman Jack Ma said in a speech at Stanford University over the weekend that he doesn't care where or when an initial public offering is conducted for his e-commerce empire, which saw total transactions of more than 1 trillion yuan ($160 billion) last year. What he cares about most is whether an IPO will help the company sustain growth and benefit shareholders.
The 49-year-old Ma, known for eloquence and wit, compared the IPO to a wedding and said it is more important to think about married life after the ceremony.
"If an IPO is a wedding, Alibaba is more concerned about the marriage after. The result that we don't expect to see is the marriage becoming the grave of love," he said.
Alibaba Group owns China's largest business-to-business website, the online retail platform Taobao, and a PayPal-style online payment service, AliPay, among other services.
By itself, Taobao - a platform akin to eBay on which a variety of retailers sell products and services to consumers and small businesses - recorded transactions of more than 1 trillion yuan in 2012.
Yahoo Inc has a 23 percent stake in Alibaba after reducing its holding from 40 percent for $7.1 billion last year.
With explosive growth and huge potential in online retail in the world's most populous country and No 2 economy, an Alibaba IPO would be regarded as one of the biggest in the technology industry, and international and Chinese investment banks are vying to underwrite an offering.
Stock exchanges are also trying to attract the Internet giant. Alibaba.com had traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange but delisted last year.
Various investment banks have valued Alibaba at $40 billion to more than $100 billion. According to a survey by Bloomberg News of eight investment banks, the latest valuation is about $62.5 billion, based on 84 times the company's profit-to-earnings ratio.
Ma also said his company is an industry trend-setter and will continue to invest in operations.
Last week, Alibaba paid $586 million for 18 percent of Sina Weibo, China's most popular microblogging site with over 400 million users, and has an option to increase the stake to 40 percent.
The company has acquired many smaller Internet companies in businesses tied to Internet search software, group-buying deals, online coupons and even an online taxi-reservation service to build its mobile Internet portfolio.
"The mobile phone will become the device of data consumption and is changing people's lifestyles," Ma said at Stanford. "If the PC has changed the way we work and produce, the wireless Internet is a revolution in lifestyle, and China will see revolutionary changes with wireless Internet."
He said Alibaba will invest more in infrastructure including "big data", unlike its main domestic competitor Tencent. Hong Kong-listed Tencent is the third-most-valuable Internet company in the world, after Google Inc and Amazon.com Inc, and is investing in Internet applications.
China HSBC April services PMI falls to lowest in nearly 2 years
May 8th, 2013Growth in China's services sector slowed sharply in April to its lowest point since August 2011, a private sector survey showed on Monday, in fresh evidence that economic revival will remain modest and may be facing wider risks.
The HSBC services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 51.1 in April from 54.3 in March, with new order expansion the slowest in 20 months and staffing levels in the service sector decreasing for the first time since January 2009.
The HSBC services PMI follows a similar survey by China's National Bureau of Statistics, which found non-manufacturing activity eased to 54.5.
"The cooling of service sector activity in April likely reflected the knock-on effect of slower manufacturing growth, the impact of property tightening measures and the spreading bird flu," said HSBC's China chief economist Qu Hongbin.
A reading above 50 indicates activity in the sector is accelerating, while one below 50 indicates it is slowing.
Two separate PMIs last week showed that China's manufacturing sector growth had slowed, suggesting the country's exports engine is running into headwinds from the euro zone recession and sluggish growth in the United States.
In the latest survey, the sub-index measuring new business orders dropped sharply to a 20-month low of 51.5 in April, with only 15 percent of survey respondents reporting an increased volume of new orders that month, HSBC said.
"Again, this started to bite employment growth. All these are likely to add some risk to China's growth in 2Q, as there's still a bumpy road towards sustaining growth recovery," Qu said.
The employment sub-index decreased to 49.6 in April, the first net reduction in staff numbers since January 2009, although HSBC said job losses were marginal, partially caused by firms down-sizing and employee resignations.
Employment is a decisive factor shaping government thinking because it is crucial for social stability. The services sector accounted for 46 percent of China's gross domestic product in 2012, as big as the country's better-known manufacturing industry.
At the depth of the global financial crisis in 2008/2009, an estimated 20 million rural migrant workers lost their jobs, prompting Beijing to unveil a 4 trillion yuan stimulus package to shore up the economy and provide employment.
China's annual economic growth dipped to 7.4 percent in the third quarter, slowing for seven quarters in a row and leaving the economy on course for its weakest showing since 1999.
The government has set a 2013 growth target of 7.5 percent, a level Beijing deems sufficient for job creation while providing room to deliver reforms to the economy.
Beijing set to pave way for new yuan investment funds
May 7th, 2013Beijing is set to open the floodgates for fresh capital from Hong Kong to the mainland's equity and bond markets in a bid to shore up liquidity.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange have begun vetting applications for new renminbi qualified foreign institutional investor (RQFII) products following a three-month hiatus.
They are likely to grant fresh quotas as early as the end of this month, according to regulatory officials and fund managers.
Beijing launched the RQFII scheme in 2011, allowing Hong Kong subsidiaries of mainland fund houses and brokerages to raise offshore yuan to invest in the mainland stock and bond markets.
The RQFII quota was raised to 270 billion yuan (HK$339 billion) late last year from 70 billion yuan, which was used up in January.
A CSRC official said the regulators had accepted new applications and were reviewing them.
The move to reopen the RQFII market followed a major liberalisation last month, when non-mainland institutions registered in Hong Kong and Hong Kong-based units of mainland banks and insurers were also allowed to participate in the scheme.
"Hong Kong subsidiaries of mainland institutions will continue to be the primary target in the new round of RQFII quota issuance," said Z-Ben Advisors' chief researcher Howhow Zhang. "Some quotas will also be assigned to foreign companies."
A clutch of mainland institutions, encouraged by the government to expand abroad, have been preparing to issue new RQFII funds in Hong Kong to diversify their revenue sources.
Last week, Industrial Securities said it would launch its RQFII product, taking an initial step towards its go-global strategy.
The medium-sized Fujian-based brokerage said it was also considering overseas acquisitions and a listing on the Hong Kong stock market.
RQFII funds are subject to a 20 per cent cap on equity investments while the remaining 80 per cent of their assets are restricted to fixed-income products. Mainland authorities might increase the equity investment ceiling in the near future, sources said.
The move to introduce more RQFII funds to the mainland follows a lacklustre stock market performance this year.
The Shanghai Composite Index is up 0.36 per cent so far this year, despite the CSRC's efforts to restore investor confidence by suspending initial public offerings.
It is believed that newly appointed CSRC chairman Xiao Gang is under pressure to bolster confidence since he took office late last month.
The former Bank of China chairman, who took over from Guo Shuqing, remains tight-lipped on his policy directions. Yet, the timing of restarting issuing RQFII quota is seen as the latest effort by the regulator to boost the market.
The CSRC stopped approving initial share sales in October last year to stem fresh equity influx while underpinning the weak share market.
More than 700 applicants are still awaiting clearance to list on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges.
Although there has been speculation that Xiao would lift the ban on initial public offerings soon, the CSRC has not announced a timetable for new share sales.
China services growth slows sharply, adds to recovery risk
May 7th, 2013Growth in China's services sector slowed sharply in April to its lowest point since August 2011, a private sector survey showed on Monday - fresh evidence of rising risks to a revival in the world's No.2 economy.
The HSBC services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 51.1 in April from 54.3 in March, with new order expansion the slowest in 20 months and staffing levels in the service sector decreasing for the first time since January 2009.
Two separate PMIs last week had already shown that China's manufacturing sector growth slowed, With the weakness spreading to services, which make up almost half of gross domestic product, the risk to the recovery may be increasing.
"The weak HSBC service PMI figure provides further evidence of a slowdown not only in the factory sector but also in the service sector," said Zhang Zhiwei, chief China economist at Nomura Securities in Hong Kong.
"This confirms our worries about insufficient growth momentum in the economy, which we expect to slow to 7.5 percent in the second quarter."
The HSBC services PMI follows a similar survey by China's National Bureau of Statistics, which found non-manufacturing activity eased to 54.5 from 55.6. The official PMI is more weighted towards large state-owned firms.
Readings above 50 indicate activity in the sector is growing, while those below 50 indicate it is contracting.
The HSBC survey showed that the sub-index measuring new business orders dropped sharply to a 20-month low of 51.5 in April, with only 15 percent of survey respondents reporting an increased volume of new orders that month, HSBC said.
"This started to bite employment growth. All these are likely to add some risk to China's growth in 2Q, as there's still a bumpy road towards sustaining growth recovery," said HSBC's China chief economist Qu Hongbin.
The employment sub-index decreased to 49.6 in April, the first net reduction in staff numbers since January 2009, although HSBC said job losses were marginal, partially caused by firms down-sizing and employee resignations.
Employment is a decisive factor shaping government thinking because it is crucial for social stability. The services sector accounted for 46 percent of China's gross domestic product in 2012, as big as the country's better-known manufacturing industry.
China's economic growth unexpectedly stumbled in the first quarter, slipping to 7.7 percent versus 7.9 percent in the previous three month period, as factory output and investment slowed.
The government has set a 2013 growth target of 7.5 percent, a level Beijing deems sufficient for job creation while providing some room to reform to the economy.
Any more weak data could spark a policy response.
"The risk of slower growth is rising, the Chinese government will probably take actions after April data come out," said Jianguang Shen, chief China economist of Mizuho Securities Asia in Hong Kong.
"I see an increasing possibility for China to cut interest rates, but not likely any time in the near future, as housing inflation is a constraint."
However a Reuters poll last month found that China's central bank is expected to keep the benchmark one-year bank lending rate at 6 percent and the one-year bank deposit rate at 3 percent through 2013, as well as holding banks' reserve requirement ratios (RRR) steady.
Hard times for grads
May 6th, 2013Only about 28 percent of graduates and 37 percent of postgraduates in Beijing had signed employment contracts as of late April, according to figures from the Beijing Municipal Commission of Education, the Beijing Times reported.
The changes in the international and domestic economic environment are the main reasons leading to the low employment rates of Chinese graduates this year, said an official from the commission. A total of 6.99 million college students will have graduated by June in China, the highest number since 1949.
University seniors struggle to find good job
May 6th, 2013A majority of university and college students set to graduate in the city next month are still looking for a job due to the grim employment situation.
Only 29 percent of 178,000 students who are to graduate this June have signed an offer, been admitted to postgraduate studies or decided to study abroad as of last month, according to the Shanghai Student Affairs Center.
The percentage was up 4 percent from March but down 3 percent year-on-year, even though the number of graduates is about the same as last year, the center said.
The center attributed the poor employment prospects for graduates mainly on the recovering economy, adding that the number of available positions declined from the past two years.
Some industries, especially manufacturing and foreign trade, have either suffered a downturn or are in a transition, making it especially difficult for students who majored in those fields.
In order to get a job, some students lowered their salary expectations while others accepted a position in a different industry.
"I would take a job as long as the salary is 3,000 yuan (US$488) a month," said a student majoring in printing art design at University of Shanghai for Science and Technology.
The senior said he has had more than 20 job interviews, but hasn't heard back from any of the companies.
In February, students were still expecting a starting salary of at least 4,000 yuan, up 225 yuan from the average salary of 2012 graduates, according to China International Intellectech (Shanghai) Corp.
Only 20 percent of seniors at University of Shanghai for Science and Technology have signed up for a job or have been admitted to postgraduate studies, said Niu Xiangyu, director of the student employment guidance center at the school.
Niu said the demand for mechanical and manufacturing graduates was down 40 percent from last year.
Teachers from student employment centers at other universities and colleges said the accumulation of jobless graduates from previous years and the increasing number of overseas students who return to China for jobs have made it more difficult for this year's graduates to land a job.
"The overwhelming number of applicants have made competition for jobs harder and fiercer," said Tan Yuxu, director of the employment guidance center at Shanghai University of Finance and Economics.
"But the students are reluctant to lower their expectations," Tan said.
For example, some students refused to take jobs requiring different shifts even though the salary could be more than 4,000 yuan per month.
"Many students lost job opportunities like that simply because they don't want to endure hardships," Tan said.
Tan also said some students were spoiled by their parents and gave up easily after they failed to find an ideal job. They then relied on their parents and missed the best time to get a job, Tan added.
Tan suggested parents help their children lower expectations for their first job rather than compare them to their peers or help them become a NEET, defined as a young person "not in education, employment, or training."
Nationwide, nearly 7 million university students are about to graduate this summer, the largest number since 1949.